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A challenging outlook for Estee Lauder 's Asia business has pushed Citi to the sidelines on its stock. Analyst Filippo Falorni downgraded the beauty company's stock to neutral from buy and cut his price target by $45 to $195. His new target implies shares could rise 8.3% in the next 12 months from Monday's close. Citi's checks in China show consumers continue to trade down from premium to mass market brands, while Estee Lauder's inventories remain elevated, Falorni said. Beyond China, Falorni also noted the company's recent disclosure that parts of its business were disrupted by a cyberattack.
Persons: Estee Lauder, Filippo Falorni, Falorni, Michael Bloom Organizations: Citi, EL Locations: Asia, Monday's, 2H24, China
Club holdings Meta Platforms (META), Microsoft (MSFT) and Estee Lauder (EL) all made headlines Thursday surrounding solid quarterly earnings, regulatory challenges and analyst downgrades. The Club remains highly bullish on these two Big Tech names, while continuing to muddle through with our embattled China-exposed cosmetics-retail play. Here's the latest developments at Meta, Microsoft and Estee Lauder — along with our take on the news. META YTD mountain Meta Platforms Inc. (META) year-to-date performance. Shares of Estee Lauder closed down 2.6% Thursday, at roughly $173 apiece.
Persons: Estee Lauder, downgrades, Estee Lauder —, Mark Zuckerberg, It's, Jeff Marks, Lauder, Jefferies, it's, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Rafael Henrique Organizations: Meta, Microsoft, Big Tech, Inc, Union, EU, Wall, CNBC, Getty Locations: China, Asia
The S & P 500 rose 8.3% in the second quarter to extended its 2023 advance to 15.9%. Here's a closer look at the Club's best and worst performers in the first half of 2023, starting with the four winningest stocks. West Texas Intermediate crude ended the second quarter under $71 per barrel, about $10 below where it started the year. Humana (HUM) dropped 12.7% in the first half of 2023, rounding out the bottom-four Club stocks between January and June. The common denominator among the worst-performing Club stocks is a bit less obvious than with the winners.
Persons: It's, Dow, Here's, Mark Zuckerberg, Palo, Lisa Su, , Eli Lilly, Locker, Foot Locker's, Estee Lauder, Estee, Halliburton haven't, encouragingly, Halliburton, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Jen, Hsun Huang, Huang, Andrej Sokolow Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Nvidia, FactSet, Meta, Investors, Facebook, Networks, Palo Alto Networks, Alto, AMD, Devices, Palo, would've, The, HAL, Halliburton, West Texas, Coterra, Humana, Disney, DIS, CNBC, Consumer, Audi, Getty Locations: China, Meta, Palo, Palo Alto, Las Vegas, USA
Here's why Jim Cramer is doubling down on one of his own-it, don't-trade-it stocksJim also calls out Estee Lauder's (EL) recent run. But it's still down for the year as it works through slower-than-expected recovery in its Asia travel retail business. Jim thinks CEO Fabrizio Freda is finding his way around this. Elsewhere in consumer discretionary, Jim says continue to buy TJX Companies (TJX) and Costco (COST).
Persons: Jim Cramer, Jim, Estee, it's, Fabrizio Freda Organizations: TJX, Costco Locations: Asia
Investor concern has been spilling over into the Club holdings doing the most business in China: Wynn Resorts (WYNN), Estee Lauder (EL), and Starbucks (SBUX). That ultimately bodes well for Estee Lauder, Starbucks and Wynn, even if increasing consumer demand appeared somewhat uneven in the latest round of quarterly results. And we're expecting Estee Lauder's China business to recover as travel continues to accelerate. We remain optimistic about the growth trajectory in the country, and see this latest Covid wave as a temporary speedbump. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.
Persons: Estee Lauder, Wynn, Jim Cramer, Jim, Laxman Narasimhan, Beijing's, hasn't, Estee, Jim Cramer's, WYNN Organizations: Wynn Resorts, WYNN, Starbucks, Wynn, Management, CNBC, China News Service, Getty Locations: China, Shanghai, Beijing, Macao, Asia
We are buying 25 shares of Estee Lauder at roughly $196. Following the trade, Jim Cramer's Charitable Trust will own 325 shares of EL, increasing its weighting to 2.38% from 2.20%. As discussed in the May Monthly Meeting on Wednesday, we think the recent sell-off in Estee Lauder (EL) has gotten overdone. Indeed, it will take time for Estee Lauder's retail partners in Travel Retail in Asia to work down their excess inventory. An Estee Lauder pop-up store is seen inside daimaru Department Store on Nanjing Road Pedestrian street in Shanghai, China, August 6, 2021.
CNN —When Bold Glamour launched on TikTok earlier this year, it started a storm on social media. Some on social media were impressed by the technology, but many expressed concern about the way filters can promote unrealistic beauty standards. While there is growing unease about the way technology is impacting our ideas of beauty, some believe it can also change our attitudes to beauty for the better. Social media and filtersDigital filters and augmented reality (AR) have become an intrinsic part of how people represent themselves online. “Thanks to social media we’ve been able to access a multi-diverse pool of representation of what beauty looks like,” she said.
Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. Equities lower ahead of inflation data Watch Estee Lauder Buy Caterpillar 1. Watch Estee Lauder Nelson Peltz isn't going to do anything with Estee Lauder (EL), the activist investor told Jim Cramer Monday. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
AAPL YTD mountain Apple YTD performance Apple (AAPL): We're raising our price target to $185 per share from $175 in response to the strong quarter Thursday evening. LLY YTD mountain Eli Lilly YTD performance Eli Lilly (LLY): We're increasing our price target on Eli Lilly again, this time to $460 per share from $430. Our new price target is in reaction to the positive Alzheimer's drug trial data that was much better than what we expected. HAL YTD mountain Halliburton YTD performance Halliburton (HAL): We are lowering our price target on this North American-focused oil services giant to $40 per share from $48. SBUX YTD mountain Starbucks YTD performance Starbucks (SBUX): We're bumping up our price target to $125 per share from $120 and upgrading our rating to a 1 following the stock's pullback in reaction to the recent earnings result .
A slower-than-expected recovery in China is proving to be a challenge for some of our Club holdings that do lots of business there. The company blamed a slower post-Covid recovery in its Asia travel retail business for the dismal outlook. SBUX YTD mountain Starbucks' stock year to date performance. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER .
The results included a 3% drag due to foreign currency dynamics in key international travel retail locations. The team believes this trend in Asia will only be temporary, but that's of little comfort Wednesday, as the stock plunged. While displeased with Estee Lauder's fiscal Q4 guide, we think the magnitude of the selloff represents something of a rush to the exits, no matter the price. Quarterly commentary The recovery in Asia travel retail is the primary issue now plaguing Estee Lauder. An Estee Lauder pop-up store is seen inside daimaru Department Store on Nanjing Road Pedestrian street in Shanghai, China, August 6, 2021.
When AMD reports earnings next week, we'll be looking for signs that its integration of Xilinx has proven a success. Amazon (AMZN): Investors will be looking closely at profit margins and the growth rate at cloud unit Amazon Web Services when the company reports earnings after the closing bell Thursday. After a disappointing fourth-quarter print, we're hoping to see evidence that CEO Jim Farley has righted the ship. (See here for a full list of the stocks in Jim Cramer's Charitable Trust.) Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.
Here are three noteworthy news developments over the past two days, which contain useful insights about our stocks. For the full year 2023, Novo now expects sales growth in the range of 24% and 30%, compared to prior estimates of 13% to 19%. In addition, operating profit growth is expected to be in the range of 28% and 34%, up from a prior range of 13% to 19%. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.
Cramer says buy this high-end China reopening stock and watch these industrialsJim Cramer discussed the cause of Estee Lauder's intraday pop Wednesday and made the case for buying the cosmetics giant's stock. He also analyzed the headlines hitting Emerson Electric and Honeywell shares.
The creation of the lipstick index is widely attributed to Leonard Lauder, one of the billionaire heirs to the Estée Lauder cosmetics fortune. Back in 2001, when the US economy was in the throes of a recession, Lauder noticed that lipstick sales were actually rising, not falling. Lauder's theory was that lipstick sales and the health of the economy were in inverse proportion to one another — essentially, as the economy got worse, lipstick sales got better. The lipstick index has borne out several times throughout history. Still, lipstick probably isn't a reliable recession indicator — there are plenty of times when cosmetics sales have boomed during times of relative economic prosperity and dipped during downturns.
A big shift in consumer demand is coming as global population growth slows, and that means companies need to respond with more active approaches to generate outperformance, according to Evercore ISI. Historically, booming population growth, globalization and industrialization have supported economic growth, Julian Emanuel, the firm's senior managing director, wrote in an April 5 note. "Companies with higher value-added services and better quality will likely better capture market share than those relying solely on volume growth." "Consumer companies that focus on 'trade-up' categories and premiumization could benefit as middle-income discretionary spend continues to rise," Emanuel said. Meanwhile, McDonald's top six markets — including the U.S., U.K. and France — are all experiencing slowing population growth.
Piper Sandler on Tuesday released the results of its semi-annual survey on Gen-Z teenagers, with bullish implications for a slate of Club holdings. For its latest report, Piper Sandler surveyed 5,690 U.S. teens between Feb. 13 and March 21, with an average age of 16.2 years across 47 states. Haircare saw a marginal 1% year-over-year gain, but that's of little concern to us given Estee Lauder's minimal exposure to the haircare market, a dynamic highlighted by Piper Sandler. Internet On the ecommerce front, 57% of survey respondents cited Club name Amazon (AMZ) as their favorite online retailer. As Piper Sandler noted, these are encouraging results that highlight Meta's ongoing product-improvement initiatives.
Club holdings Estee Lauder (EL) and Honeywell (HON) are in the news Tuesday. Cowen initiates coverage of Estee Lauder EL 1Y mountain Estee Lauder's stock performance over the past 12 months. The news: Cowen started coverage of Club holding Estee Lauder Tuesday with an outperform rating and a price target of $280. The Club's take: Estee Lauder is one of the best consumer stocks to play the reopening of China after it ditched its zero-Covid policy. An Estee Lauder pop-up store is seen inside daimaru Department Store on Nanjing Road Pedestrian street in Shanghai, China, August 6, 2021.
The S & P 500 climbed roughly 1% in afternoon Tuesday trading, clawing back only some of its 3.4% decline between Thursday and Monday's close. We spent Monday morning looking for things to buy in what our trusted S & P Oscillator signaled was an oversold market. In the three sessions Thursday through Monday, both stocks underperformed the S & P 500 as they fell 5.4% and 4.4%, respectively. Palo Alto didn't get either nod, but we think it's only a matter of time before its added to the index. While S & P 500 constituency wasn't in the cards this time, we will continue to add to our position into weakness.
PANW YTD mountain Palo Alto Networks (PANW) YTD performance We're adding to our Palo Alto Networks position. One of the big data points that came out of the company's recent blowout earnings report was how Palo Alto has now achieved GAAP profitability over its past four quarters. PXD YTD mountain Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD) YTD performance We're also buying an oil stock, Pioneer Natural Resources , into Monday's energy rout and upgrading our rating back to a 1 . As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.
Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. Buy Estee Lauder We see Ulta Beauty 's (ULTA) strong fiscal-fourth quarter results Thursday as a positive read-through to Club holding Estee Lauder (EL). Estee Lauder stock fell more than 2% Friday, to around $238 a share, creating a buying opportunity. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER .
What Citi thinks Analysts at Citi chose our three Club holdings among their top-rated picks — initiating coverage in U.S. beverages, household and personal care products. STZ YTD mountain Constellation Brands (STZ) YTD performance Citi also said it's time to buy Constellation Brands, the company behind Mexican beers Corona, Modelo and Pacifico. Analysts at Citi have a $265 price target on the stock, which fell slightly lower Friday to just under $227. EL YTD mountain Estee Lauder (EL) YTD performance Citi also estimates "strong topline/margin recovery" from Estee Lauder as China's economy continues to reopen. Buy Estee Lauder."
Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. (Jim Cramer's Charitable Trust is long CAT, EL & CRM. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
We're buying 20 shares of Estee Lauder (EL) at roughly $248.20 each. That's kind of how Estee Lauder has traded of late. EL 1Y mountain Estee Lauder (EL) 1-year performance The quarter for this leader in prestige beauty was solid, and earnings handily beat expectations, with the company posting adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.69 versus estimates of $1.29. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.
Shares of Estee Lauder dropped about 3% mid-day Thursday but remain up around 10% for 2023. There is going to be some noise in the supply chain as Estee Lauder deals with its last quarter of pain related to Covid. Fragrance was up in every region, driven primarily by growth from Estee Lauder, Le Labo, and Tom Ford Beauty. In November, Estee Lauder announced it was buying the Tom Ford Brand for $2.8 billion. An Estee Lauder pop-up store is seen inside daimaru Department Store on Nanjing Road Pedestrian street in Shanghai, China, August 6, 2021.
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